a shared wrong view
In his book The Age of the Unthinkable, Joshua Cooper Ramo
notes an observation by a Nobel Prize winner that “big
science”—multibillion-dollar science programs—almost never produce
meaningful discoveries. The notion is that scientists accept a
“common picture” of how things bind together, which the author
characterizes as a “shared wrong view” or more simply, a delusion.
One of my Nolan senior executives has long classified this
phenomenon in financial services as “honest wrong beliefs.” It is a
tricky area to consult clients on since discovery must be absolutely
documented and quantified to be presented.
For example, many senior executive teams believe that their branch
networks are the backbone and key interface with their customers,
but many banks are selling more than 50% of their retail and small
business new products through alternative channels at a lower cost.
Some management teams still believe that human interface and
attention is what their customers want. In fact, 70–80% of inquiries
are either electronic or Web-based. With the advent of mobile
banking, we see the percentage increasing in the near future.
Excellence in banking does not need to be about more human
interaction with the customer; it needs to be about making the
service (human or electronic) easier and more convenient.
Another area where there is a possible common wrong belief is on
cross-sell ratios. Many marketing executives focus on this as an
area of improvement and, if designed effectively, it may be a good
area for revenue growth and anchoring valued customers. The fact is,
there is evidence that, in many banks’ unprofitable customer
segments, the number of products per customer is as high as or
higher than that of the most profitable customer segments.
This leads us to believe that a purely sales focus may lead to
higher cost when incentives are included for those campaigns if not
properly targeted at break-even customers who will become profitable
with the new product or service.
There are honest wrong beliefs in nearly every company that limit
organizations from realizing true profit potential. Why else would
banks in the same market with similar products and the same labor
pools have wide gaps in profitability? There is no crime in having
strong beliefs, only in limiting your search for breakthroughs based
on those views.