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June 11, 2008
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The Robert E. Nolan Company is an operations and technology consulting firm specializing in the health care industry. For 35 years, we have helped clients redesign processes and apply technology to improve service, quality, productivity, and costs.

Our staff members are all senior industry experts with 15+ years in the industry. Visit www.renolan.com to for health care articles, white papers, and client success stories.


Slow Down or Speed Up?
By Tim Lauer
Senior Consultant
tim_lauer@renolan.com

The economy seems to be front and center in most people's minds these days. The consensus is that most sectors of the American economy will slow down this year. Smart businesspeople, though, will look for opportunities in an economic slowdown and act accordingly. They don't play only when the sun is shining. Some careful reprioritizing and planning now may pay off handsomely in the future with increased market share, lower costs, stronger presence, higher profits, or some combination of these things. For some, merely riding out the storm will be good enough. But those management teams who seek the opportunities in an economic downturn and are willing to plan a lot and invest a little may emerge as industry leaders when the inevitable upturn comes.

Recognition and Planning
Economic downturns are rarely forecasted and budgeted. No one is sure of the extent and length of a downturn in advance. However, once a downturn is evident, management teams should have a disciplined method to plan activity at a high level. At the very least, new quarterly budgets should be created with best case, worst case, and expected case performance criteria. A capital plan and a key activity plan should be developed that reprioritizes the entity's operations to make the best of the downturn.

Each department in a company performs dozens of important tasks every day. The key in a downturn is to understand what is essential. Separate the important from the essential, and perhaps put the important on the back burner in order to make sure that the essential tasks are executed as perfectly and efficiently as possible. For example, is that new IT system essential or important? Is building a new headquarters essential or important? My bet is that your list of essential activities will be much shorter than your list of important activities, which will give you the clarity to focus and develop the core of the business.

Current activities should be reviewed for fit in the downturn model. Should this activity be delayed or accelerated? Should that acquisition go forward or stop? Is there a market that we can target that was impossible before the downturn? Which competitors are the fastest-growing, and which are economically strongest? Can we leverage ourselves ahead of them in selected markets?

People
News of an economic downturn strikes fear in the hearts of most employees. The best management teams address employees' concerns about job security and the welfare of the company on an ongoing basis, and especially during slow times. Fearful employees are not focused on the customer; they may cut corners or begin to look for more stable employment. Keeping everyone watching the ball is critical during hard economic times. A carefully planned communication effort will help lower the anxiety of front line personnel and will help in getting their buy-in for activities that may not be the norm.

People-related opportunities abound in an economic downturn. Some companies will announce layoffs, some will offer early retirement, some will go out of business. College graduates will be looking very hard for employment. All of these activities release talent to the job market—talent that is not available when times are good or may not normally be available. Considering the competitive environment for talent, "skilling up" and retaining key employees should be top priorities. Companies who do not do this may find themselves too far behind in the talent war to progress in their industry after the downturn.

Keeping Key Suppliers and Accounts
Tough times strain business relationships, and long- term relationships are more easily overturned when suppliers and customers shift to survival mode. Desperation may supplant rationality for a longstanding customer who has just been offered a short-term discount or a cheaper product with fewer benefits or features. A smart management team will be out in front of this thinking, continually working with key accounts and suppliers to prevent attrition. A carefully worded message that is linked to the new circumstances and the company's plan to meet those circumstances should be repeated to important customers and suppliers, just as it is to employees.

Process Improvement
While times are good, companies focus on sales volume and new product launches, with efficiency and cost control distant seconds. In a downturn, the order is flipped. Plan to use the time to evaluate processes and efficiency. Write down the firm's ten most essential activities, and begin a careful review of them from a process and efficiency standpoint. Scrutinize outsourced functions for potential in-sourcing. The front line can tell you what is needed and what is not, and how a process can be improved. And in some cases, technology can help eliminate backlogs or improve distribution channels.

The Robert E. Nolan Company has extensive experience in assisting companies through downturns and upturns. Our 35-year history of process improvement, strategic planning, mergers and acquisitions, and IT and capability management assistance encompasses many clients that are now household names. We would be pleased to come to you to discuss how we can help your company pull through the downturn with strength and viability.