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By Rod Travers
Senior Vice President, Technology

Like many others, each year at this time I feel compelled to make a few predictions about the technology landscape in financial services for the coming year. Here are a few things to watch in 2004:

bulletUntethered Computing. The many technologies that enable truly mobile computing are starting to gel. We’ve had laptops for years but weight, battery life, and most importantly the tether of a phone line have always been hindrances to mobile computing. Four-pound laptops with seven-hour battery life are now commonplace, and in 2004 we will see the phone line tether start to disappear.  Between WiFi hotspots and cellular data networks, there will be little need to hunt down a phone jack or deal with local access numbers. This trend will be further bolstered by tablet PCs, which are not yet ready for prime time but are getting close.
bulletProcess Renaissance. It started in 2002—rumblings about the importance of process—as if it was something new.  Process is nothing new to us, of course, but the renewed marketplace focus on process is being driven by the realization that business processes and enabling technologies must be aligned and tightly integrated. There were lots of lessons learned over the past five years. No longer can you just implement technology and expect improved business performance. That particular productivity boost already came in the 1980s and early 1990s.  Achieving measurable improvements these days means improving operational effectiveness—doing the right things at the right cost with the most effective mix of people, business processes and technology. Fads are falling out of favor; fundamentals are back in vogue!
bulletBPM and BPM systems. The process renaissance is manifesting itself in the form of process-oriented management practices known as business process management (BPM) and related technologies known as BPM systems (BPMS). The management practices involve analysis, requirements, design, modeling, metrics and continuous improvement. The supporting technology systems are designed to execute, measure and help manage processes by tying together other systems and human interaction.
bulletEnterprise Architecture and Requirements. The operating environment of today’s companies is very complex. There are core administrative systems, support systems such as ecommerce and imaging/workflow, workaround systems, security systems and, of course, an array of customers, employees and business processes that depend on those systems. That is, in fact, a gross oversimplification of the environment at most financial services companies. Improvement initiatives, by their nature, create change and thus impact these systems and processes. Wouldn’t it be nice if there were a way to capture all of the attributes and characteristics of systems and business processes, so that when improvements are undertaken, the requirements and implications of the related change would be clearly and quantitatively understood? I’m talking about business rules, data attributes, job roles, skills, process flows, costs and so on—just to name a few of the salient data elements. Enterprise architecture and requirements management tools and methodologies enable companies to do just that. We have already incorporated these capabilities into our service offerings, and we expect many financial services companies to be looking at enterprise architecture and requirements management as they engage in strategic improvement initiatives.
bulletData Management. Many companies are drowning in data but starved for information to help drive management decisions. That statement has almost become a cliché but, unfortunately, not much has been done to address it. The tools and practices for managing data have improved considerably in the past few years, and 2004 will be the year many organizations make strategic investments in data warehouses and data quality initiatives that will deliver meaningful management information.

I predict 2004 will be the year of results because of the renewed focus on discipline and fundamentals. I welcome your comments on these and other trends you see taking hold in 2004 and beyond.